Friday, June 3, 2011

Goldman Bags Another Captured Senator

Goldman Sachs is a government agency masquerading as an investment bank, masquerading as a commercial bank to receive FDIC debt guarantees.

The beat goes on...uninterrupted.

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Source - NPR

If you missed the announcement late last week that Goldman Sachs hired former Republican Sen. Judd Gregg to be an international advisor, don't blame yourself.

It came out Friday when most people were thinking more about the long holiday weekend ahead than the latest effort by the investment bank to add to its stable of worthies an influential former Capitol Hill lawmaker.

Anyway, the former senator from New Hampshire who, as you'll recall, turned down President Obama's offer of the Commerce Secretary's job, will join Goldman's board of international advisors, nearly 20 former corporate chief executives and government officials.

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Source - Huff Po

In the wake of the financial crisis, which has been partly blamed on the excesses of Wall Street banks such as Goldman, Gregg was an outspoken critic of the Obama administration's effort to tighten oversight of the financial industry. He was also a defender of Goldman during the heated congressional debate over the $700 billion bank bailout.

Early last year, Gregg said that Democrats were overreacting to civil charges filed against Goldman for securities fraud by using the indictment to push regulatory reform. He noted at the time that the allegations had not yet been proven in court.

"It's really disingenuous for some people to pursue regulatory reform based off this one instance," the retired senator said on MSNBC. "This is a single event, we don't even know what the outcome will be."

Video: Mock Hanging Outside Greek Parliament

Perhaps the Greeks have heard that the ECB is on its way to Athens to take over tax collection in Greece and collect the deed for the Acropolis and Parthenon.

Or maybe it was word that Moody's downgraded Greece today to near-junk status and put the odds of default at 50%.

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Video - Greeks protest austerity in Syntagma Square - May 31, 2011

Syntagma Square is immediately adjacent to the Greek Royal Palace. I remember it from a family trip in 1972 when I was 6, as I negotiated cabfare in Drachmas with the locals for my overwhelmed non-Greek speaking mother. Earlier this week, there was discussion of a military coup in Greece if the protests and violence escalates.

Apropos of nothing, check out this amazing photo of the Parthenon being struck by lightning last Summer...

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Attention James Chanos: Hire me as a trader for your hedge fund and rescue me from the tortuous hell of running this blog day after insanity-inducing day.

I'm the greatest living Greek-American trader outside of anyone except...well, you.

BREAKING: Goldman Gets Subpoena From NY Prosecutor

Breaking story from Bloomberg...

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), the fifth- biggest U.S. bank by assets, received a subpoena from the Manhattan District Attorney’s office seeking information on the firm’s activities leading into the credit crisis, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The request relates to the U.S. Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations report on Wall Street’s role in the housing market collapse, which accused New York-based Goldman Sachs of misleading buyers of mortgage-linked investments, the people said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the inquiry isn’t public. The Senate report was referred to the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are also investigating.

Bloomberg video reports...

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COMEX Registered Silver Bullion Inventories Fall Sharp 38.5% in Two Weeks – Risk of COMEX Silver Default Remains

Spot gold and silver prices rose slightly again this morning after hitting a one-month high yesterday as equity markets internationally came under selling pressure. The Moody's downgrade of Greece and worryingly poor US economic data again pushed investors to seek the safe haven of bullion. Gold reached new record nominal highs in sterling yesterday (£945.62/oz) as the pound fell on concerns about the UK economy.

Silver Prices and Rates GoldCore Gold Bullion Silver Prices and Rates

Markets await key U.S. data on non-farm payrolls on Friday, while ongoing concerns over Greek sovereign debt and contagion in the Eurozone also affected market sentiment and supported the precious metals.

COMEX Silver Bullion Registered Inventories – January 1996 to May 31st 2011 GoldCore Gold Bullion COMEX Silver Bullion Registered Inventories – January 1996 to May 31st 2011

Friday's U.S. payrolls is likely to show that the world's largest economy is weakening and may be on the verge of a double dip which will likely lead to further safe haven demand.

Seeing as the extent of the recovery was always exaggerated, this is not a surprise to us.

The supply situation in the silver market gets more interesting by the day.

Registered COMEX silver inventories have fallen to multiyear lows at 29,631,268 ounces. In the last 5 days they fell from 32,132,903 ounces to Tuesday’s holdings of 29,631,268 ounces. As can be seen in the table below registered silver inventories fell every single day last week leading to a sharp fall of 8.4% in 5 days.

Registered metals are those metals which meet the standards for delivery under the silver futures contracts and for which a receipt from an Exchange-approved depository or warehouse has been issued. Eligible metals are those which meet the delivery standards as stated in the rules for which no receipt from an Exchange-approved warehouse has been issued.

This is a long term trend that has been seen since the early 1990s when total COMEX silver stockpiles were over 101.45 million ounces.

However, the scale of the drop in inventories since early 2008 is significant and the trend has accelerated in recent weeks.

Registered silver inventories are down a sharp 38.5% in just two weeks – from 41,044,280 to 29,631,268.

COMEX Silver Bullion Registered Inventories – June 2009 to May 31st 2011 GoldCore Gold Bullion COMEX Silver Bullion Registered Inventories – June 2009 to May 31st 2011

The record nominal highs near $50/oz, seen 31 years ago and again at the end of April, are likely to be seen again sooner rather than later due to the increasingly delicate supply demand balance.

The scale of current investment demand and industrial demand, especially from China and the rest of Asia, is such that it is important to keep monitoring COMEX warehouse stocks.

The Hunt Brothers were one of a few dozen billionaires in the world in the late 1970s when they attempted to corner the market. Today there are thousands of billionaires in the world, any number of whom could again attempt to corner the silver market.

Also, today unlike in the 1970s, there are sovereign wealth funds and hundreds of hedge funds with access to billions in capital.

COMEX Silver Bullion Stockpiles – 05/31/11 GoldCore Gold Bullion COMEX Silver Bullion Stockpiles – 05/31/11

The possibility of an attempted cornering of the silver market through buying and taking delivery of physical bullion remains real. However it would be very difficult to corner the silver market due to the very small nature of the silver bullion market.

A COMEX default remains a risk as does a massive short squeeze which could see silver surge as it did in the 1970s and again recently leading to silver targeting the inflation adjusted record high of $140/oz.

As ever price predictions from gurus should be take with a pinch of salt and diversification remains of paramount importance.

Gold

Gold is trading at $1,543.05/oz, €1,066.53/oz and £941.40/oz.

Silver

Silver is trading at $37.33/oz, €25.80/oz and £22.77/oz.

Platinum Group Metals

Platinum is trading at $1,821.75oz, palladium at $775/oz and rhodium at $2275/oz.